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fantasy pros mock draft 1.0nly

twitterfacebookgoogle+redditwe’ve been exhaustively talking about the draft on the podcast every week since the super bowl ended. reid has been kicking ass with periodic mock drafts that are full of great thought and buffalo bills’ trades. i wasn’t planning on putting out a mock draft. instead, i was going to plugging away on post draft content next week (still am) once we know who is going where. fantasy pros is having a mock draft contest and i can never turn down a chance to compete in literally anything. i decided that i would share my first ever mock draft with you and we can talk about it in the comment section if you like. wish me luck, i hate losing.2018 nfl mock drafts powered by fantasyprosecr ™ – expert consensus rankings





nfl mock draft, 2018 fantasy football

twitterfacebookgoogle+reddithey there razzballers, reid here dropping a 2-round mock draft where i actually don’t allow for trades. and when i say “i don’t allow for trades,” i really mean “fantasypros won’t allow for trades.”





fantasy football podcast

twitterfacebookgoogle+redditif you haven’t heard of charles mcdonald yet, it won’t be long. he’s one of the fastest rising stars in the football media world and a celebrated film watcher for #footballtwitter. you can check out his awesome work at setting the edge and football outsiders.we start the podcast by talking about his presentation at the sloan analytics conference in boston and that rolls right into story time about his first experience at the combine. from hanging out with big cat and pft commenter to meeting andy reid at the airport, chuck made the most of his time in indianapolis.we also had a great conversation about draft prospects and the happenings in free agency. football knowledge and fun all in one episode.http://www.blogtalkradio.com/razzballfootball/2018/03/15/razzblitz-podcast-special-guest-charles-mcdonald.mp3podcast: play in new window | downloadsubscribe: apple podcasts | android | rss





fantasy football podcast

twitterfacebookgoogle+redditif you haven’t heard of charles mcdonald yet, it won’t be long. he’s one of the fastest rising stars in the football media world and a celebrated film watcher for #footballtwitter. you can check out his awesome work at setting the edge and football outsiders.we start the podcast by talking about his presentation at the sloan analytics conference in boston and that rolls right into story time about his first experience at the combine. from hanging out with big cat and pft commenter to meeting andy reid at the airport, chuck made the most of his time in indianapolis.we also had a great conversation about draft prospects and the happenings in free agency. football knowledge and fun all in one episode.http://www.blogtalkradio.com/razzballfootball/2018/03/15/razzblitz-podcast-special-guest-charles-mcdonald.mp3podcast: play in new window | downloadsubscribe: apple podcasts | android | rss





sam darnold, 2018 fantasy football

twitterfacebookgoogle+reddithey razzballers. reid here going to give you a quick mock draft based on how free agency and trades have played out so far. i’ll be projecting some modest trades and will give some commentary on some notable/curious picks.cleveland – qb sam darnold (usc)ny giants – de bradley chubb (nc state)ny jets – qb josh allen (wyoming)cleveland – rb saquon barkley (penn state)denver – og quenton nelson (notre dame)buffalo (trade w/ind) – qb josh rosen (ucla)tampa bay – s minkah fitzpatrick (alabama)chicago – s derwin james (florida state)san francisco – de/lb trumaine edmunds (virginia tech)arizona (trade w/oakland) – qb baker mayfield (oklahoma)miami – cb denzel ward (ohio state)indianapolis (trade w/buffalo) – de marcus davenport (utsa)washington – lb roquon smith (georgia)green bay – ot mike mcglinchey (notre dame)oakland – cb jaire alexander (louisville)baltimore – wr courtland sutton (smu)la chargers – dt vita vea (washington)seattle – de harold landry (boston college)dallas – wr calvin ridley (alabama)detroit – dt da’ron payne (alabama)cincinnati – c james daniels (iowa)new orleans (trade w/ind)  – qb lamar jackson (louisville)new england – dt taven bryan (florida)carolina – wr d.j. moore (maryland)tennessee – ot will hernandez (utep)atlanta – cb josh jackson (iowa)indianapolis (trade w/no)  – rb derrius guice (lsu)pittsburgh – lb leighton vanderesch (boise st)jacksonville – lb rashaan evan...





fantasy football podcast

if you haven’t heard of charles mcdonald yet, it won’t be long. he’s one of the fastest rising stars in the football media world and a celebrated film watcher for #footballtwitter. you can check out his awesome work at setting the edge and football outsiders.we start the podcast by talking about his presentation at the sloan analytics conference in boston and that rolls right into story time about his first experience at the combine. from hanging out with big cat and pft commenter to meeting andy reid at the airport, chuck made the most of his time in indianapolis.we also had a great conversation about draft prospects and the happenings in free agency. football knowledge and fun all in one episode.http://www.blogtalkradio.com/razzballfootball/2018/03/15/razzblitz-podcast-special-guest-charles-mcdonald.mp3podcast: play in new window | downloadsubscribe: apple podcasts | android | rss





kirk cousins, 2018 fantasy football

well it’s been a little bit, hasn’t it? the last time i’ve put pen to paper for razzball was all the way back in december! but i’m glad to be back writing once again.but after a wild playoffs, a disappointing super bowl (for the pats), i’m glad to be back to help recap some of the best (and worst) free agency moves from these past few weeks.so let’s look at the biggest moves and what it means for fantasy football in 2018.allen robinson signs with chicagoeven before the official free agency period was underway, we got big news that robinson would be signing with chicago for a reported $42m for 3 years. in chicago, under qb mitch trubisky and new head coach matt nagy, he’ll be joining fellow wideouts kevin white, cameron meredith, josh bellamy, dontrelle inman, and kendall wright. while those are a lot of names, robinson shouldn’t have any issues being the de facto #1 option for trubisky.so what does a #1 receiver look like in chicago? well a #1 wr in 2018 will mean a whole lot more than last year under former coach john fox. under fox, the bears ran the ball 46% of the time, which was the 7th-most in the nfl. however, things will change this year.kansas city’s 2017 offense, under nagy, featured a lot of rpo (run-pass options) playcalling. it is assumed that nagy will bring this system to chicago (and it makes sense, as trubisky ran the rpo during his time in north carolina), which will be the exact opposite of what occurred last year for chicago.i would expec...





brandin cooks fantasy, 2018 fantasy football

while all the coaches posed for a picture in orlando at the league meetings, bill belichick was once again absent. he was somewhere hunched over and scowling about the patriot’s bitter super bowl defeat and thinking about how he can get the most bang for his buck for the 2018 roster. anger continues to build as he continues to accept that the eagles flat out built a better roster than he had. “we’re onto roster building.”i was listening to the will cain show on my way home from work as i am often forced to because i’m too lazy to sync my phone to blue tooth sometimes. “it’s a short drive, i can handle it.” that what i tell myself as william babbles aimlessly about his opinions on sports. all of a sudden, my ears perked up as he was talking to a guest about trading rob gronkowski. i didn’t catch the guests’ name but he brought up how the patriots tend to go with the element of surprise when it comes to trades. before the patriots traded brandin cooks to the rams on tuesday, this guy had already dismissed the possibility of gronkowski being traded. trading cooks makes me believe that the patriots want to keep gronkowski around for 2018. it doesn’t make sense to trade both of your best weapons in the passing game in one offseason.the patriots received the 23rd pick in the 2018 nfl draft and a swapping of picks in the later rounds from the los angeles rams for brandin cooks. basically, the patriots exchanged a first round pick from last year to move up 8 spo...





sam darnold, 2018 fantasy football

hey razzballers. reid here going to give you a quick mock draft based on how free agency and trades have played out so far. i’ll be projecting some modest trades and will give some commentary on some notable/curious picks.cleveland – qb sam darnold (usc)ny giants – de bradley chubb (nc state)ny jets – qb josh allen (wyoming)cleveland – rb saquon barkley (penn state)denver – og quenton nelson (notre dame)buffalo (trade w/ind) – qb josh rosen (ucla)tampa bay – s minkah fitzpatrick (alabama)chicago – s derwin james (florida state)san francisco – de/lb trumaine edmunds (virginia tech)arizona (trade w/oakland) – qb baker mayfield (oklahoma)miami – cb denzel ward (ohio state)indianapolis (trade w/buffalo) – de marcus davenport (utsa)washington – lb roquon smith (georgia)green bay – ot mike mcglinchey (notre dame)oakland – cb jaire alexander (louisville)baltimore – wr courtland sutton (smu)la chargers – dt vita vea (washington)seattle – de harold landry (boston college)dallas – wr calvin ridley (alabama)detroit – dt da’ron payne (alabama)cincinnati – c james daniels (iowa)new orleans (trade w/ind)  – qb lamar jackson (louisville)new england – dt taven bryan (florida)carolina – wr d.j. moore (maryland)tennessee – ot will hernandez (utep)atlanta – cb josh jackson (iowa)indianapolis (trade w/no)  – rb derrius guice (lsu)pittsburgh – lb leighton vanderesch (boise st)jacksonville – lb rashaan evans (alabama)ny giants (trade ...





stanley cup playoffs predictions: eastern conference first round

welcome to the 2017-18 stanley cup playoffs. this is the moment every hockey fan has been waiting for. sixteen teams are on a mission to win sixteen games, but only one will take home lord stanley. the next fews weeks are going to be amazing. players will take their game to another level and every game becomes a “must win”. i’ll break down every round of the playoffs and (hopefully) help you win that office playoff bracket. let’s get right to it and start with the eastern conference.columbus blue jackets vs. washington capitalsprediction: columbus in 6lots of people want to believe that this is the year that washington wins a stanley cup, but that’s unlikely to happen.washington is loaded with skill and talent, there’s no question about that. ovechkin lead the league (again) in goals and the capitals finished 9th in gf/gp (3.10). their defence wasn’t anything special, but they got the job done. it’s good enough to take them on a deep playoff run.here’s the problem– braden holtby. it kinda doesn’t sound right to say it out loud, but holtby was very average this season. his 34 wins were tied with tuukka rask and devan dubnyk for 8th in the nhl, but his 2.99 gaa and .907 sv% tell a very different story.of the 22 goalies who played over 50 games this season, holtby ranks 18th in gaa, which would rank him behind henrik lundqvist, jimmy howard and jacob markstrom. his sv% would rank him 20th, behind jaroslav halak, robin lehner and cam talbot. in short– holt...





stanley cup playoffs predictions: western conferance first round

welcome to the 2017-18 stanley cup playoffs. this is the moment every hockey fan has been waiting for. sixteen teams are on a mission to win sixteen games, but only one will take home lord stanley. the next fews weeks are going to be amazing. players will take their game to another level and every game becomes a “must win”. i’ll break down every round of the playoffs and (hopefully) help you win that office playoff bracket. let’s get right to it and look at the western conferencecolorado avalanche vs. nashville predatorsprediction: nashville in 4it’s a real shame that the future hart trophy winner won’t be able to carry his team to the next round of the playoffs. mackinnon was on another planet this season, but let’s face it– is there a better, more complete team in the league than nashville right now? i’ll wait.the predators have the depth in every category; goaltending, defence, offence, power play. you name it, they’re better than colorado. the avs have no advantage on paper in this series.nashville finished second in ga/gp and seventh in gf/gp. future vezina trophy winner pekka rinne was elite this season, their defence was once again top in the league thanks to p.k. subban and roman josi and their offence is just good enough to finish in the top half of the league.on the flip side, the avalanche finished 10th in gf/gp and 14th in ga/gp. those numbers aren’t bad, but the task at hand is to win four games against the predators without semyon varlamov ...





2018 fantasy baseball: march market wrap-up

there have been a ton of theories that could could explain the realitive inactivity of the offseason. we have seen more significant deals in march than at any time in history. personally, i tend to believe it has more to do with a market correction than anything else. sure, there are always other factors and the mlbpa is certainly entitled to question the motives of some franchises, but the deals that were struck this past weekend probably have more to do with the correction of the market than anything else. we will look at the deals in the order of their impact on the pennant chase and fantasy drafts coming up.philadelphia phillies sign sp jake arrietathe phillies pulled the trigger on a three year, 75 million dollar contract on arrieta. sure, that would seem to be under market, but we have to remember that arrieta is coming off of a down season (for him) and he has already turned 32. the idea that he was going to get a seven year, 200 million dollar deal was an invention that seemed to be dreamed up out of thin air by scott boras. others thought he would get four or five years guaranteed, but given the history of long-term contracts for pitchers that seemed far-fetched as well. just take a look at his last three seasons in chicago.2015: 22-6, 1.77 era, 0.865 whip, 236 so2016: 18-8, 3.10 era, 1.084 whip, 190 so2017: 14-10, 3.53 era, 1.218 whip, 163 sothat’s not the kind of trend that gets people a ton of money. the phillies wisely front-loaded the contract to where he gets...





2018 fantasy baseball: using k%+iffb%-bb% to target pitchers

the fantasy baseball industry is lucky to have many analysts with interesting strategies up their sleeves to target players. one particular strategy i’ve enjoyed using over the years is k%+iffb%-bb% to target pitchers. strikeouts and the ability to induce easy pop ups seems like a recipe for fantasy success. in a perfect world, i’m trying to pair two of the top 20 hurlers along with a few of the middle relievers found atop of the k%+iffb%-bb% list and some upside arms late in drafts.i’m definitely not the first to use this, i’ve tweeted about my use of this strategy back in 2016, jeff zimmermann wrote about it here and per his discussion, i believe rob silver has been using this for a significant period of time (he may be the first!). zimmermann expands on this strategy and probably makes the math more sound by placing pas in the denominator. i encourage you to read more of his discussion and reasoning in the previous link.at any rate, here’s the chart i’ve been using so far this preseason for my mixed labr draft as well as the great fantasy baseball invitational league 11 draft.side note: i didn’t set a minimum for innings pitched as i wanted a chart that included both starters and relievers, but you could easily do thathere’s a direct link to the chart, but it should also be embedded below. if you have any questions, pop them in the comments and i’ll gladly respond.





2018 fantasy baseball: throwing darts late in your draft, part ii

as promised, part 2 of the last round draft dart throws features outfielders and pitching. remembering the criteria for inclusion; they must have an average draft position of 300+ across espn, cbs and yahoo). so, without further ado, let’s get into it.outfieldersnick williams (espn n/a – cbs 318 – yahoo – 344)williams’ minor league career translates to a .280 hitter with 20 home runs and 10 stolen bases. his spring isn’t off to a good start and he’s still only got half a season in the majors to be used as a sample size.but the tools are there and if he gets a starting gig in philadelphia, there’s no reason he can’t be a useful contributor in fantasy either.mallex smith (espn n/a – cbs 403 – yahoo – 369)this is purely as late dart throw if you need stolen bases. his major league career is 153 games, where he’s stolen 32 bases in 45 attempts (not great for a speedster) with a .256 average. he’ll need to hit at least that to keep a place in the lineup and we’ve already established the rays won’t be particularly good this year.but in the minors, smith stole a base every 1.77 games and hit .294 so there’s reason to believe in some growth. in these speed starved times, smith could be a nice little gold mine for steals late in your draft.derek fisher (espn n/a – cbs 453 – yahoo – n/a)the big question for fisher is playing time, but with gurriel expected to miss the first month of the season, fisher could cover an outfield spot with marwin gonz...





2018 fantasy baseball: handicapping the remaining free agents

for the discerning baseball fan, there are several sites that become go to sources for information. baseball-reference.com is usually the best resource for general statistical information. fangraphs.com and baseballprospectus.com have good advanced statistics and commentary on those statistics. however, if one wants to find out the most recent news on free agents and trades they go to mlbtraderumors.com. they have a great app that is supported by ios (apple) and android devices.before the free agency period begins they list their top 50 free agents with predictions on where they will go and how much they will get. they usually list some honorable mentions as well. to date, there are seven players that were listed that have gone unsigned. following is just a fun prediction of where those guys should land before the start of the season. i have no inside information to offer, so i go with what would seem to make the most sense. we will go in the order that mlbtraderumors.com listed them.greg holland— closer/setup (#10)anytime a guy is in the top ten and unsigned in march you stand up and take notice. however, this makes more sense than we would expect. there are only 30 closing jobs available and holland has marketed himself as a closer. why not? he had 41 saves last season and a decent 3.61 era. however, that is where the optimism usually stops. he actually had a higher era on the road last season than at home. still, that wasn’t the most alarming line on br’s splits.firs...





2018 fantasy baseball: pecota projections– starting pitchers 1-20

we have reached the moment where we have finally gotten to the best starting pitchers on the market. it shouldn’t be any surprise that most of these guys are clumped on teams that are destined to be there in october. the old adage goes that great pitching beats great hitting. many of these players will be the same as the previous list this offseason, but more players have gone off the free agent board, so there is far more certainty this time around.20. jake arrieta— philadelphia philliespecota: 10 wins, 3.91 era, 1.15 whip, 154 soadmittedly, these numbers were crunched before he chose the phillies. i’m not sure that it changes anything that much. he has gotten progressively worse the past two seasons since winning the nl cy young award. the phillies have penciled him in behind aaron nola and the numbers certainly back that up. a solid offense and bullpen should be enough to bring him some wins.19. masahiro tanaka— new york yankeespecota: 13 wins, 4.05 era, 1.23 whip, 171 soit doesn’t seem fair. the yankees, red sox, and indians have four starters in the top 60. the astros have five. if you are doing the simple math then it follows that a number of teams won’t have any. tanaka is not quite an ace, but should be better than the numbers he put up last year. we see more pitchers from these teams because better lineups and better bullpens equal more wins. he’s not literally better than those below him, but geography plays into it.18. alex wood— los angeles dodgers...





fantasy football podcast

twitterfacebookgoogle+redditif you haven’t heard of charles mcdonald yet, it won’t be long. he’s one of the fastest rising stars in the football media world and a celebrated film watcher for #footballtwitter. you can check out his awesome work at setting the edge and football outsiders.we start the podcast by talking about his presentation at the sloan analytics conference in boston and that rolls right into story time about his first experience at the combine. from hanging out with big cat and pft commenter to meeting andy reid at the airport, chuck made the most of his time in indianapolis.we also had a great conversation about draft prospects and the happenings in free agency. football knowledge and fun all in one episode.http://www.blogtalkradio.com/razzballfootball/2018/03/15/razzblitz-podcast-special-guest-charles-mcdonald.mp3podcast: play in new window | downloadsubscribe: apple podcasts | android | rss





2018 fantasy baseball: pecota projections– top 20 closers

i hate closers. okay, that’s a little extreme, but i hate saves. the problem with saves is that they are almost completely dependent on what a team does and not what the individual does. so, forecasting closers is a bit myopic. i refuse to give into the game of forecasting saves. it depends on the quality of the team, whether they will play in a lot of close games, and the quality of the rest of the bullpen. acknowledging the fact that there are 30 closers at any one time, we know some will not keep their jobs all year around. how many will be replaced is another guessing game.most fantasy owners like to have three closers on their squad. you can get by with two, but you probably shouldn’t have fewer than that. however, there is a growing consensus that owners should employ a couple of setup men as well because they can replicate the numbers of one good starter. we will have our own separate list for those later on. the list of the top 20 closers are based completely on their abilities as pitchers independent of wins and saves. the upshot is that if they are good enough they will retain their positions and build save statistics independent of that. i wouldn’t kick the other closers off your list completely, but they are all at risk of losing their jobs.20. kelvin herrera— kansas city royalspecota: 57 inn, 3.95 era, 1.29 whip, 8.4 so/9if we ignore saves then we are left with everything else. in general, you want relief pitchers to keep putting up zeroes and getting str...





2018 fantasy baseball: undervalued starting pitchers – american league

we’re getting a much more useful look at how things are panning out for teams this spring and how drafts are going in fantasy. this allows us to identify where “our guys” are likely to be taken come draft day and the likelihood of getting the players we want.but in the interest of being flexible come your draft, you need to be able to find value at each and every pick. so here i’m going to whizz through all american league teams and identify a starting pitcher who is primed to offer more value than their current draft position suggests. national league will follow soon.the adp (average draft position) is taken from their average across espn, yahoo, cbs rt sports, nfbc and fantrax draft data. without further ado, let’s get cracking.american league eastbaltimore orioles – kevin gausmann (adp 195 – 51st sp)gausmann has had two great second halves salvaging seasons after two poor first halves. if he gets his act together early now an experienced member of the orioles rotation, he can easily offer value as an sp4.boston red sox – eduardo rodriguez (adp 340 – 94th sp)yes, rodriguez will not be ready for opening day, but he is back pitching and should be ready come late april. now, are there really 93 other starting pitchers you’d rather take? a last round pick on rodriguez could easily offer a solid rotation option on your roster.new york yankees – masahiro tanaka (adp 90 – 23rd sp)the emergence of luis severino and tanaka’s poor 2017 has seen him drop in ...





kirk cousins, 2018 fantasy football

twitterfacebookgoogle+redditwell it’s been a little bit, hasn’t it? the last time i’ve put pen to paper for razzball was all the way back in december! but i’m glad to be back writing once again.but after a wild playoffs, a disappointing super bowl (for the pats), i’m glad to be back to help recap some of the best (and worst) free agency moves from these past few weeks.so let’s look at the biggest moves and what it means for fantasy football in 2018.allen robinson signs with chicagoeven before the official free agency period was underway, we got big news that robinson would be signing with chicago for a reported $42m for 3 years. in chicago, under qb mitch trubisky and new head coach matt nagy, he’ll be joining fellow wideouts kevin white, cameron meredith, josh bellamy, dontrelle inman, and kendall wright. while those are a lot of names, robinson shouldn’t have any issues being the de facto #1 option for trubisky.so what does a #1 receiver look like in chicago? well a #1 wr in 2018 will mean a whole lot more than last year under former coach john fox. under fox, the bears ran the ball 46% of the time, which was the 7th-most in the nfl. however, things will change this year.kansas city’s 2017 offense, under nagy, featured a lot of rpo (run-pass options) playcalling. it is assumed that nagy will bring this system to chicago (and it makes sense, as trubisky ran the rpo during his time in north carolina), which will be the exact opposite of what occurred last ye...